Abstract
This study estimates the effect of seasonal patterns of pull and push climate elements (rainfall, temperature, wind, and cloud coverage) on recurrent fluctuations in tourism demand from the United States (USA) and Venezuela to Aruba. The seasonal patterns were first isolated from the series using the Census X-12 decomposition method, after which the analysis included panel data unit root testing, panel data regression, and Euclidean distance calculation. The results show that both pull and push seasonal factors of climate were relevant in determining the seasonal variations in tourism demand from both countries. The study derives two theoretical propositions: (1) climate is a significant push and pull factor affecting tourism demand; and (2) tourism demand and climate are bounded by intertemporal climate constraints.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Journal | Tourism Management |
| Volume | 41 |
| Pages (from-to) | 245-256 |
| Number of pages | 12 |
| ISSN | 0261-5177 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 04.2014 |
UN SDGs
This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
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SDG 13 Climate Action
Research areas and keywords
- Sustainability Science
- Aruba
- Climate
- Panel regression
- Seasonality
- Small island
- Tourism demand
ASJC Scopus Subject Areas
- Development
- Tourism, Leisure and Hospitality Management
- Strategy and Management
- Transportation
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